Publications of Ulrich Hoffrage

Hoffrage, U. (2004). Overconfidence. In R. F. Pohl (Ed.), Cognitive illusions: A handbook on fallacies and biases in thinking, judgement and memory (pp. 235–254). Psychology Press.

Hoffrage, U., & Gigerenzer, G. (2004). How to improve the diagnostic inferences of medical experts. In E. Kurz-Milcke & G. Gigerenzer (Eds.), Experts in science and society (pp. 249–268). Plenum Publishers.

Kurz-Milcke, E. M., Gigerenzer, G., & Hoffrage, U. (2004). Representations of uncertainty and change: Three case studies with experts. In K. Smith, J. Shanteau, & P. Johnson (Eds.), Psychological investigations of competence in decision making (pp. 188–225). Cambridge University Press.

Hertwig, R., & Hoffrage, U. (2002). Technology needs psychology: How natural frequencies foster insight in medical and legal experts. In P. Sedlmeier & T. Betsch (Eds.), Etc.: Frequency processing and cognition (pp. 285–302). Oxford University Press.

Hoffrage, U., & Vitouch, O. (2002). Evolutionspsychologie des Denkens und Problemlösens. In W. Prinz & J. Müsseler (Eds.), Allgemeine Psychologie (pp. 734–794). Spektrum Akademischer Verlag.

Sadrieh, A., Güth, W., Hammerstein, P., Harnad, S., Hoffrage, U., Kuon, B., Munier, B. R., Todd, P. M., Warglien, M., & Weber, M. (2001). Is there evidence for an adaptive toolbox? In G. Gigerenzer & R. Selten (Eds.), Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox. Dahlem Workshop Report (pp. 83–102). MIT Press.

Hertwig, R., Hoffrage, U., & Martignon, L. (1999). Quick estimation: Letting the environment do the work. In G. Gigerenzer, P. M. Todd, & the ABC Research Group (Eds.), Simple heuristics that make us smart (pp. 209–234). Oxford University Press.

Hoffrage, U., & Hertwig, R. (1999). Hindsight bias: A price worth paying for fast and frugal memory. In G. Gigerenzer, P. M. Todd, & the ABC Research Group (Eds.), Simple heuristics that make us smart (pp. 191–208). Oxford University Press.

Krauss, S., Martignon, L., & Hoffrage, U. (1999). Simplifying Bayesian inference: The general case. In L. Magnani, N. J. Nersessian, & P. Thagard (Eds.), Model-based reasoning in scientific discovery (pp. 165–179). Plenum Press.

Martignon, L., & Hoffrage, U. (1999). Why does one-reason decision making work? A case study in ecological rationality. In G. Gigerenzer, P. M. Todd, & ABC Research Group (Eds.), Simple heuristics that make us smart (pp. 119–140). Oxford University Press.