Journal Article
Hoffrage, U.,
Hertwig, R., &
Gigerenzer, G. (2000). Hindsight bias: A by-product of knowledge updating?
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition,
26(3), 566–581.
(Reprinted in Heuristics: The foundations of adaptive behavior, pp. 223-241, by G. Gigerenzer, R. Hertwig, & T. Pachur, Eds., 2011, New York: Oxford University Press).