Main Focus

  • Risk and uncertainty communication
  • Decision making under risk and uncertainty
  • Moral judgement and decision making
  • Boosting human judgment and decision Making
  • Use of behavioral insights for public benefit


WEXICOM: Weather warnings: from extreme event information to communication and action (Principle Investigator)

Coming Decade: Decadal climate predictions for Europe. BMBF funded project to improve decadal climate predictions and their communication (Principle Investigator)

ReRiskCom: Forecast Resolutions for Effective Risk Communication. DWD EMF funded project investigating effective spatial and temporal forecast resolutions from a user perspective (principle investigator)

ForMeds: Forecasting impacts of extreme weather conditions on emergency medical services. DWD EMF funded project to develop and evaluate an impact modelling framework for weather-related ambulance operations for emergency managers. (co-principle investigator)

Selected Publications

* shared authorships / equal contribution

Fischer, H., Herzog, S., Rebitschek, F., Ketzer, M., & Fleischhut, N. (2022). Metacognitive and cultural cognition accounts jointly explain believing, and spreading of contested information. PsyArXiv, December 14, 2022.

Schneider, M., McDowell, M., Guttorp, P., Steel, E. A., & Fleischhut, N. (2022). Effective uncertainty visualization for aftershock forecast maps. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22(4), 1499–1518. doi: 10.5194/nhess-22-1499-2022

Möhrlen, C., Bessa, R. J., & Fleischhut, N. (2022). A decision-making experiment under wind power forecast uncertainty. Meteorological Applications, 29(3), Article e2077. doi: 10.1002/met.2077

Fleischhut, N., & Herzog, S. M., & Hertwig, R. (2020). Weather literacy in times of climate change. Weather, Climate, and Society, 12, 435–452. doi: 10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0043.1

Fleischhut, N., & Jenny, M. A. (2019). Kommunikationsproblem Naturgefahren: Wie lassen sich Hochwasserrisiken transparent und verständlich darstellen? (Studien und Gutachten im Auftrag des Sachverständigenrats für Verbraucherfragen). Berlin: Sachverständigenrat für Verbraucherfragen.

Fundel, V. J.*, Fleischhut, N.*, Herzog, S. M.*, Göber, M., & Hagedorn, R. (2019). Promoting the use of probabilistic weather forecasts through a dialogue between scientists, developers and end-users. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145(S1), 210–231. doi:10.1002/qj.3482

Meder, B., Fleischhut, N., Krumnau, N.-C., & Waldmann, M. R. (2019). How should autonomous cars drive? A preference for defaults in moral judgments under risk and uncertainty. Risk Analysis, 39(2), 295–314. doi:10.1111/risa.13178

Meder, B.*, Fleischhut, N.*, & Osman, M.* (2018). Beyond the confines of choice architecture: A critical analysis. Journal of Economic Psychology, 68(October), 36–44. doi:10.1016/j.joep.2018.08.004

Curriculum Vitae

Dr. rer. nat. (PhD), Psychology, Humboldt University Berlin, 2013

M. A. Philosophy, Free University Berlin, 2006

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