Arthur Paul Pedersen

Adjunct Researcher
pedersen [at] mpib-berlin [dot] mpg [dot] de

Short CV: 


Personal Webpage               arthurpaulpedersen.org



Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Center for Adaptive Rationality
     Postdoctoral Researcher


2013 - Present



Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich
Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy
     External Member


2012 - Present



Carnegie Mellon University
Ph.D. Logic, Computation and Methodology (2012)

Dissertation: Archimedes Wake
Committee: Teddy Seidenfeld (co-advisor), Rohit Parikh (CUNY),
                  Marcus Pivato (Cergy-Pontoise), Kevin Zollman (co-advisor)




M.S. Logic, Computation and Methodology (2009) 

Committee: Horacio Arló-Costa (co-advisor) and
                   Teddy Seidenfeld 




University of Wisconsin-Madison
B.A. Philosophy (2005)
B.A. Mathematics (2005)



Please see my curriculum vitæ (above) for an unabbreviated résumé.




“A Proof of Completeness for Continuous First-Order Logic” (with Itaï Ben Yaacov).
Journal of Symbolic Logic, 75(1): 168-190, March 2010.




"Bounded Rationality: Models for Some Fast and Frugal Heuristics” (with Horacio
Arló-Costa). In A. Gupta, J.F.A.K. van Benthem, and E. Pacuit, editors, Games,
Norms and Reasons: Logic at the Crossroads
. Springer, 2011. A tribute to Rohit
Parikh on the occasion of his 70th birthday.                    




“Social Norms, Rational Choice and Belief Change” (with Horacio Arló-Costa).
In E.J. Olsson and S. Enqvist, editors, Belief Revision meets Philosophy of Science,
Vol. 21 of Logic, Epistemology, and the Unity of Science. Springer, 2010.



“Belief Revision” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). In L. Horsten and R. Pettigrew, editors,
Continuum Companion to Philosophical Logic. Continuum Press, 2011.



“Belief and Probability: A General Theory of Probability Cores” (with Horacio Arló-Costa).
International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 53(3): 293-315, April 2012.



“Fast and Frugal Heuristics: Rationality and the Limits of Naturalism” (with Horacio
Arló-Costa). Synthese: 1-20, November 2012.



“What Language Dependence Problem? A Reply for Joyce to Fitelson on Joyce”
(with Clark Glymour). Philosophy of Science, 79(4): 561-574, October 2012.


 “Comparative Expectations.” Studia Logica, 102(4): 811-848, August 2014.          


“Demystifying Dilation” (with Gregory Wheeler). Erkenntnis, 79(6): 1305-1342, December 2014.


Special Issues

Finding Foundations for Bounded and Adaptive Rationality (co-edited with Ralph Hertwig). Minds and Machines, expected 2015.




Chancellor’s Fellowship for Graduate Study, awarded by the Graduate Dean of the University of California, Berkeley, to pursue a doctoral degree in the Group in Logic and the Methodology of Science, 2008 – 2011 (award declined)





Fellowship support from Teddy Seidenfeld to conduct summer graduate research, 2009 – 2012




Nuffic HSP Huygens Scholarship, awarded by the Dutch Ministry of Education, Culture and Science, to study at the Institute for Logic, Language and Computation of the Universiteit van Amsterdam, 2006 – 2008 (award declined)




NSF VIGRE grant to conduct research on continuous first-order logic, 2005 – 2006




Notre Dame Department of Mathematics Scholarship to participate in proof theory course at the University of Notre Dame, Summer 2005




Elected member of the Phi Beta Kappa academic honor society


Dean’s Honor List





Editorial Board Member
Member of Editorial Board for Minds and Machines (since January 2013)



Journal Referee
Referee for The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, Erkenntnis, Journal of Philosophical Logic, Minds and Machines, Philosophy of Science, The Journal of Symbolic Logic, Studia Logica, Mathematical Logic Quarterly, The Review of Symbolic Logic, Journal of Economic Methodology (multiple times for some journals)





Conference Referee
Referee for the Meeting of Canadian Philosophical Association (CPA) in Montreal (2010), Society for Exact Philosophy (SEP) in Winnipeg (2011), Games, Interactive Rationality and Learning (GIRL) in Lund (2012), Workshop on Logic, Language, Information and Computation in (WoLLIC) Buenos Aires (2012), Finding Foundations for Bounded and Adaptive Ratiionality in Berlin (2013), Logic and the Foundations of Game and Decision Theory (LOFT) in Bergen (2014), Meeting of the Central States Philosophical Association (CSPA) in Evanston (2014), Conference on Causal and Probabilistic Reasoning (CPR) in Munich (2015), Theoretical Aspects of Rationality and Knowledge (TARK) in Pittsburgh (2015), International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications (ISIPTA) in Pescara (2015) 




Research Interests: 
  • Epistemology (including Formal Epistemology)
  • Normative and Behaviorial Decision Theory
  • Game Theory
  • Cognitive Heuristics
  • Probability Theory
  • Philosophical and Mathematical Logic
  • Philosophy of Science
  • Philosophy of Mathematics
  • Philosophy of Logic
  • Philosophy of Language


Work in Progress:
“Impossibility Results for Any Theory of Non-Archimedean Expected Value.”
“Representing Conditional Expectations by Non-Archimedean Expectations."
“Strictly Coherent Preferences, No Holds Barred.”
"Dilation, Disintegrations, Dominance Principles, and Delayed Decisions" (with Gregory Wheeler).
"Strictly Coherent Choice Under Uncertainty."
"Full Belief and Partial Belief" (for Handbook of Formal Epistemology, R. Pettigrew and J. Weisberg, eds.).
"Optimal Stopping for Sampling in Decisions from Experience" (with Ralph Hertwig).
"The Liklihood Ratio Measure: Some Troubles" (with Otâvio Bueno and Yukinori Onishi)
“Thinking before Deciding” (with Eric Pacuit).
“Iterated Belief Revision and the Dynamics of Belief” (with Eric Pacuit and Jan-Willem Romeijn).
“Rational Choice and Conditional Obligation” (with Jack Stecher).
“Betting on Improbable Conditionals” (with David Rose).
“Truth in Continuous First-Order Logic.”
“Pseudo-rationalizability over Infinite Choice Spaces.” 
“Descriptive Decision Theory” (for Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, E. Zalta, ed., with Jake Chandler).

open all Curriculum Vitae

zuklappen Publications

Pedersen, A. P. (2014). Comparative expectations. Studia Logica, 102, 811-848. doi:10.1007/s11225-013-9539-7
Full text

Pedersen, A. P., & Wheeler, G. (2014). Demystifying dilation. Erkenntnis, 79, 1305-1342. doi:10.1007/s10670-013-9531-7
Full text

Arló-Costa, H., & Pedersen, A. P. (2013). Fast and frugal heuristics: Rationality and the limits of naturalism. Synthese, 190, 831-850. doi:10.1007/s11229-012-0188-6
Full text

Hertwig, R., & Pedersen, A. P. Finding foundations for bounded and adaptive rationality. Minds and Machines. doi:10.1007/s11023-015-9380-z
Full text