Arthur Paul Pedersen

Postdoctoral Fellow
+49 30 82406-271
pedersen [at] mpib-berlin [dot] mpg [dot] de

Short CV: 



Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Center for Adaptive Rationality
     Postdoctoral Researcher


2013 - Present



Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich
Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy
     External Member


2012 - Present



Carnegie Mellon University
Ph.D. Logic, Computation and Methodology (2012)

Dissertation: Archimedes Wake
Committee: Teddy Seidenfeld (co-advisor), Rohit Parikh (CUNY),
                  Marcus Pivato (Trent), Kevin Zollman (co-advisor)




M.S. Logic, Computation and Methodology (2009) 

Committee: Horacio Arló-Costa (co-advisor) and
                   Teddy Seidenfeld 




University of Wisconsin-Madison
B.A. Philosophy (2005)
B.A. Mathematics (2005)



Please see my curriculum vitæ above for an unabbreviated résumé.







“A Proof of Completeness for Continuous First-Order Logic” (with Itaï Ben Yaacov).
Journal of Symbolic Logic, 75(1): 168-190, March 2010.




"Bounded Rationality: Models for Some Fast and Frugal Heuristics” (with Horacio
Arló-Costa). In A. Gupta, J.F.A.K. van Benthem, and E. Pacuit, editors, Games,
Norms and Reasons: Logic at the Crossroads
. Springer, 2011. A tribute to Rohit
Parikh on the occasion of his 70th birthday.




“Social Norms, Rational Choice and Belief Change” (with Horacio Arló-Costa).
In E.J. Olsson and S. Enqvist, editors, Belief Revision meets Philosophy of Science,
Vol. 21 of Logic, Epistemology, and the Unity of Science. Springer, 2010.



“Belief Revision” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). In L. Horsten and R. Pettigrew, editors,
Continuum Companion to Philosophical Logic. Continuum Press, 2011.



“Belief and Probability: A General Theory of Probability Cores” (with Horacio Arló-Costa).
International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 53(3): 293-315, April 2012.



“Fast and Frugal Heuristics: Rationality and the Limits of Naturalism” (with Horacio
Arló-Costa). Synthese: 1-20, November 2012.



“What Language Dependence Problem? A Reply for Joyce to Fitelson on Joyce”
(with Clark Glymour). Philosophy of Science, 79(4): 561-574, October 2012.

  “Demystifying Dilation” (with Gregory Wheeler). Forthcoming in Erkenntnis.  


Horacio: Commemorative Essays on Horacio Arló-Costa (co-edited with Jeffrey Helzner,
Vincent F. Hendricks, and Gregory Wheeler). Automatic Press/VIP, expected 2013.




Chancellor’s Fellowship for Graduate Study, awarded by the Graduate Dean of the University of California, Berkeley, to pursue a doctoral degree in the Group in Logic and the Methodology of Science, 2008 – 2011 (award declined)





Fellowship support from Teddy Seidenfeld to conduct summer graduate research, 2009 – 2012




Nuffic HSP Huygens Scholarship, awarded by the Dutch Ministry of Education, Culture and Science, to study at the Institute for Logic, Language and Computation of the Universiteit van Amsterdam, 2006 – 2008 (award declined)




NSF VIGRE grant to conduct research on continuous first-order logic, 2005 – 2006




Notre Dame Department of Mathematics Scholarship to participate in proof theory course at the University of Notre Dame, Summer 2005




Elected member of the Phi Beta Kappa academic honor society


Dean’s Honor List




Editorial Board Member
Member of Editorial Board for Minds and Machines (since January 2013)



Journal Referee
Referee for The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, Erkenntnis, Journal of Philosophical Logic, Mathematical Logic Quarterly, Minds and Machines, Philosophy of Science, The Journal of Symbolic Logic, Studia Logica, The Review of Symbolic Logic (multiple times for some journals)





Conference Referee
Referee for the Meeting of Canadian Philosophical Association in Montreal (30 May - 2 June 2010), Society for Exact Philosophy in Winnipeg (26-28 May 2011), Games, Interactive Rationality and Learning in Lund (19-21 April 2012), Workshop on Logic, Language, Information and Computation in Buenos Aires (3-6 September 2012)



Research Interests: 
  • Epistemology (including Formal Epistemology)
  • Normative and Behavioral Decision Theory
  • Game Theory
  • Cognitive Heuristics
  • Probability Theory
  • Philosophical and Mathematical Logic
  • Philosophy of Science
  • Philosophy of Mathematics
  • Philosophy of Logic
  • Philosophy of Language


Work in Progress:
"Comparative Expectations."
"An Extension Theorem and a Numerical Representation Theorem for Qualitative Comparative Expectations without an Archimedean Axiom, without Measurability or Closure Conditions, and without help from Ultraproducts.''
“Impossibility Results for Any Theory of Non-Archimedean Expected Value.”
“A Slightly More Radical Personal Probability.”
“The Theory of Probability Cores in Bayesian Epistemology and Decision Theory.”
“Thinking before Deciding” (with Eric Pacuit).
“Heuristics and Maximization: Beyond Binary Choice.”
“Iterated Belief Revision and the Dynamics of Belief” (with Eric Pacuit and Jan-Willem Romeijn).
“Rational Choice and Conditional Obligation” (with Jack Stecher).
“Betting on Improbable Conditionals” (with David Rose).
“Truth in Continuous First-Order Logic.”
“Pseudo-rationalizability over Infinite Choice Spaces.” 

open all Curriculum Vitae

zuklappen Publications

Pedersen, A. P. (in press). Comparative expectations. Studia Logica.

Pedersen, A. P., & Wheeler, G. (in press). Demystifying dilation. Erkenntnis.

Pedersen, A. P., & Arló-Costa, H. (2013). Fast and frugal heuristics: Rationality and the limits of naturalism. Synthese, 190, 831-850. doi:10.1007/s11229-012-0188-6
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