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Article of the Month

 

2017

 
March Gigerenzer, G., & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2017). Cassandra’s regret: The psychology of not wanting to know. Psychological Review, 124, 179-196. PDF (334 KB)
February ---
January

McMahon, K., Ruggeri, A., Kämmer, J. E., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2016). Beyond idea generation: The power of groups in developing ideas. Creativity Research Journal, 28, 247-257. PDF (556 KB)

2016

 
September

Tan, J. H., Luan, S., & Katsikopoulos, K. (in press). A signal-detection approach to modeling forgiveness decisions. Evolution and Human Behavior. PDF (2,101 KB)

August ---
July

Galesic, M., Barkoczi, D., & Katsikopoulos, K. (2016). Smaller crowds outperform larger crowds and individuals in realistic task conditions. Decision. PDF (2,974 KB)

June

Ruggeri, A., Olsson, H., Katsikopoulos, K. (2015). Opening the cuebox: The information children and young adults generate and rely on when making inferences from memory. British Journal of Developmental Psychology, 33, 355-374. PDF (240 KB)

May ---
April

Şimşek, Ö., & Buckmann, M. (2015). Learning from small samples: An analysis of simple decision heuristics. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 28, 3141-3149 PDF (2,121 KB)

March

Ruggeri, A., & Lombrozo, T. (2015). Children adapt their questions to achieve efficient search. Cognition, 143, 203–216. PDF (738 KB)

February ---
January

Arkes, H. R., Gigerenzer, G., & Hertwig, R. (2016). How bad is incoherence? Decision, 3, 20-39. PDF (278 KB)

2015

 
December

Galesic, M., Kause, A., & Gaissmaier, W. (2015), A sampling framework for uncertainty in individual environmental decisions. Topics in Cognitive Science. doi: 10.1111/tops.12172. PDF (825 KB)

November

Keller, N., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2015). On the role of psychological heuristics in operational research; and a demonstration in military stability operations. European Journal of Operational Research. PDF (987 KB)

September

Aikman, D., Galesic, M., Gigerenzer, G., Kapadia, S., Katsikopoulos, K. V., Kothiyal, A., Murphy, E., and Neumann, T. (2014). Taking uncertainty seriously: Simplicity versus complexity in financial regulation, Bank of England Financial Stability Paper No. 28. PDF (815 KB)

August

Gigerenzer, G. (2015). On the supposed evidence for libertarian paternalism. Review of Philosophy and Psychology, 6, 361-383. PDF (397 KB)

July

Hautz, W. E, Kämmer, J. E., Schauber, S. K., Spies, C. D., & Gaissmaier, W. (2015). Diagnostic performance by medical students working individually or in teams. Journal of the American Medical Association, 313, 303–304. PDF (71 KB)

May

Moussaïd, M., Brighton, H., & Gaissmaier, W. (2015). The amplification of risk in experimental diffusion chains. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 112, 5631-5636. PDF (855 KB)

April

Brighton, H. & Gigerenzer, G. (2015). The bias bias. Journal of Business Research. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.01.061 PDF (690 KB)

March

Şimşek, Ö. (2013). Linear decision rule as aspiration for simple decision heuristics. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 26, 2904–2912. PDF (226 KB)

February

Gigerenzer G. & Marewski J. N. (2015). Surrogate science: The idol of a universal method for scientific inference. Journal of Management, 41, 421-440. PDF (429 KB)

January

Analytis, P. P., Kothiyal, A., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2014). Multi-attribute utility models as cognitive search engines. Judgment and Decision Making, 9, 403-419. PDF (271 KB)

2014

 
December

Artinger, F., Petersen, M., Gigerenzer, G., & Weibler, J. (2014). Heuristics as adaptive decision strategies in management. Journal of Organizational Behavior. doi:10.1002/job.1950. PDF (528 KB)

November

Filimon, F., Rieth, C. A., Sereno, M. I., & Cottrell, G. W. (2014). Observed, executed, and imagined action representations can be decoded from ventral and dorsal areas. Cerebral Cortex, bhu110. PDF (908 KB)

October

Gaissmaier, W., Anderson, B. L., & Schulkin, J. (2014). How do physicians provide statistical information about antidepressants to hypothetical patients? Medical Decision Making, 34, 206–215. PDF (187 KB)

September

Luan, S., Schooler, L. J., & Gigerenzer, G. (2014). From perception to preference and on to inference: An approach-avoidance analysis of thresholds. Psychological Review, 121, 501−525. PDF (2,301 KB)

August

Meder, B., Mayrhofer, R., & Waldmann, M. (2014). Structure induction in diagnostic causal reasoning. Psychological Review, 121, 277-301. PDF (367 KB)

July

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Gigerenzer, G. (2013). Behavioral operations management: A blind spot and a research program. Journal of Supply Chain Management, 49, 3-7. PDF (70 KB)

June

Galesic, M. & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2013). Using analogies to communicate information about health risks. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 27, 33-42. PDF (212 KB)

May

Goldstein, D. G., & Gigerenzer, G. (2009). Fast and frugal forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 25, 760–772. PDF (423 KB)

April

Wegwarth, O., Schwartz, L. M., Woloshin, S., Gaissmaier, W., & Gigerenzer, G. (2012). Do physicians understand cancer screening statistics? A national survey of primary care physicians in the United States. Annals of Internal Medicine, 156, 340-349. PDF (295 KB)

March

Garcia-Retamero, R., & Cokely, E.T. (2013). Communicating health risks with visual aids. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 22, 392-399. PDF (828 KB)

February

Brighton, H. & Gigerenzer, G. (2012). Are rational actor models "rational" outside small worlds? In: S. Okasha, & K. Binmore (Eds.) Evolution and Rationality: Decisions, Co-operation, and Strategic Behaviour (pp. 84-109). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. PDF (458 KB)

January  

2013

 
December

Drechsler, M., Katsikopoulos, K., & Gigerenzer, G. (2013). Axiomatizing bounded rationality: The priority heuristic. Theory and Decision. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1007/s11238-013-9393-0. PDF (203 KB)

November

Nelson, J. D., Divjak, B., Gudmundsdottir, G., Martignon, L. F., Meder, B. (2014). Children's sequential information search is sensitive to environmental probabilities. Cognition, 130, 74-80. PDF (2,540 KB)

October Pachur, T., Hertwig, R., Gigerenzer, G., & Brandstätter, E. (2013). Testing process predictions of models of risky choice: A quantitative model comparison approach. Frontiers in Psychology, 4, 1–22. PDF (796 KB)
September

Morais, A. S., Olsson, H., & Schooler, L. J. (2013). Mapping the structure of semantic memory. Cognitive Science, 37, 125-145. [ Morais.et.al.2013.pdf (201 KB) PDF] 

August

Meder, B., Le Lec, F., & Osman, M. (2013). Decision making in uncertain times: What can cognitive and decision sciences say about or learn from economic crises? Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 17, 257–60. PDF (5,483 KB)

July Kämmer, J. E., Gaissmaier, W., & Czienskowski, U. (2013). The environment matters: Comparing individuals and dyads in their adaptive use of decision strategies. Judgment and Decision Making, 8, 299–329. PDF (4,334 KB)
June

Ruggeri, A., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2013). Make your own kinds of cues: When children make more accurate inferences than adults. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology, 115, 517–535. doi:10.1016/j.jecp.2012.11.007. PDF (910 KB)

May

Gaissmaier, W., Wegwarth, O., Skopec, D., Müller, A.-S., Broschinski, S., & Politi, M. C. (2012). Numbers can be worth a thousand pictures: Individual differences in understanding graphical and numerical representations of health-related information. Health Psychology, 31, 286–296. PDF (620 KB)

April

Sims, C. R., Neth, H., Jacobs, R. A., & Gray, W. D. (2013). Melioration as rational choice: Sequential decision making in uncertain environments. Psychological Review, 120, 139–154. PDF (634 KB)

March

Gigerenzer, G., & Wegwarth, O. (2013). Five year survival rates can mislead. British Medical Journal, 346, f548. doi:10.1136/bmj.f548. PDF (173 KB)

February

Meder, B., & Nelson, J. D. (2012). Information search with situation-specific reward functions. Judgment and Decision Making, 7, 119-148. PDF (676 KB)

January Gigerenzer, G., & Sturm, T. (2012). How (far) can rationality be naturalized? Synthese, 187, 243–268. doi:10.1007/s11229-011-0030-6. PDF (303 KB)

2012

 
December Gaissmaier, W., & Gigerenzer, G. (2012). 9/11, Act II: A fine-grained analysis of regional variations in traffic fatalities in the aftermath of the terrorist attacks. Psychological Science. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1177/0956797612447804 PDF (829 KB)
November Galesic, M., Olsson, H., & Rieskamp, J. (2012). Social sampling explains apparent biases in judgments of social environments. Psychological Science. Advance online publication. PDF (902 KB)
October Gigerenzer, G., & Goldstein, D. G. (2011). The recognition heuristic: A decade of research. Judgment and Decision Making, 6, 100-121. PDF (214 KB)
September Luan S., Katsikopoulos K. V., & Reimer, T. (2012) When does diversity trump ability (and vice versa) in group decision making? A simulation study. PLoS? ONE 7(2): e31043. PDF (372 KB)
August Cokely, E., Galesic, M., Schulz, E., Ghazal, S., & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2012). Measuring risk literacy: The Berlin Numeracy Test. Judgment and Decision Making, 7, 25-47. PDF (195 KB)
July Pachur, T., & Olsson, H. (2012). Type of learning task impacts performance and strategy selection in decision making. Cognitive Psychology, 65, 207-240. doi:10.1016/j.cogpsych.2012.03.003 PDF (983 KB)
June Arkes, H. J., & Gaissmaier, W. (in press). Psychological research and the Prostate-Cancer Screening controversy. Psychological Science. Advance online publication. doi:10.1177/0956797612437428 PDF (2,471 KB)
May Raab, M., Gula, B., & Gigerenzer, G. (2012). The hot hand exists in volleyball and is used for allocation decisions. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 18, 81-94. doi:10.1037/a0025951PDF (254 KB)
April

Wegwarth, O., Schwartz, L. M., Woloshin, S., Gaissmaier, W., & Gigerenzer, G. (2012). Do physicians understand cancer screening statistics? A national survey of primary care physicians. Annals of Internal Medicine 156, 340-349. http://www.annals.org/content/156/5/340.abstract

March

Kruglanski, A. W., & Gigerenzer, G. (2011). Intuitive and deliberate judgments are based on common principles. Psychological Review, 118, 97-109. doi:10.1037/a0020762 PDF (125 KB)

February Gigerenzer, G., & Gaissmaier, W. (2011). Heuristic decision making. Annual Review of Psychology, 62, 451-482. doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-120709-145346 PDF (367 KB)
January Galesic, M., & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2011). Do low-numeracy people avoid shared decision making? Health Psychology, 30, 336-341. PDF (504 KB)

2011

 
December Gaissmaier, W., & Marewski, J. N. (2011). Forecasting elections with mere recognition from small, lousy samples: A comparison of collective recognition, wisdom of crowds, and representative polls. Judgment and Decision Making, 6, 73–88. PDF (300 KB)
November Marewski, J. N., & Schooler, L. J. (2011). Cognitive niches: An ecological model of strategy selection. Psychological Review, 118, 393-437. doi:10.1037/a0024143 PDF (8,130 KB)
August Luan, S., Schooler, L. J., & Gigerenzer, G. (2011). A signal-detection analysis of fast-and-frugal trees. Psychological Review, 118, 3, 316-338. PDF (658 KB)
July Stevens, J.R., Volstorf, J., Schooler, L.J., & Rieskamp, J. (2011). Forgetting constrains the emergence of cooperative decision strategies. Frontiers in Psychology, 1, 235. PDF (2,6 KB)
June Katsikopoulos, K. V., & King, A. J. (2010). Swarm intelligence in animal groups: When can a collective out-perform an expert? PLoS ONE, 5(11):e15505. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0015505 PDF (155 KB)
May Nelson, J. D., McKenzie, C. R. M., Cottrell, G. W., & Sejnowski, T. J. (2010). Experience matters: Information acquisition optimizes probability gain. Psychological Science, 21, 960-969. doi:10.1177/0956797610372637 pdf (443 KB)
April Katsikopoulos, K. V., Schooler, L. J., & Hertwig, R. (2010). The robust beauty of ordinary information. Psychological Review, 117, 1259-1266. PDF (282 KB)
March Fific, M., Little, D. R., & Nosofsky, R. M. (2010). Logical-rule models of classification response times: A synthesis of mental-architecture, random-walk, and decision-bound approaches. Psychological Review, 117, 309-348. PDF (202 KB)
February Scheibehenne, B., Greifeneder, R., & Todd, P. M. (2010). Can there ever be too many options? A meta-analytic review of choice overload. Journal of Consumer Research, 37, 409-425. PDF (372 KB)
January Mata, J., Todd, P. M., & Lippke, S. (2010). When weight management lasts: Lower perceived rule complexity increases adherence. Appetite, 54, 37-43. PDF (160 KB)

2010

 
December Mata, R., von Helversen, B., & Rieskamp, J. (2010). Learning to choose: Cognitive aging and strategy selection learning in decision making. Psychology and Aging, 25, 299-309. PDF (736 KB)
November Berg, N., & Gigerenzer, G. (2010). As-if behavioral economics: Neoclassical economics in disguise? History of Economic Ideas, 18, 133-165. PDF (209 KB)
October Stevens, J.R. (2010). Rational decision making in primates: the bounded and the ecological. In: M.L. Platt & A.A. Ghazanfar (Eds.), Primate Neuroethology. Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 96-116. PDF (817 KB)
September Gigerenzer, G. (2010). Moral satisficing: Rethinking moral behavior as bounded rationality. Topics in Cognitive Science. 2(3), 528-554. PDF (256 KB)
August Marewski, J. N., Gaissmaier, W., & Gigerenzer, G. (2010). Good judgments do not require complex cognition. Cognitive Processing, 11, 103-121 PDF (515 KB)
July Galesic, M., García-Retamero, R., & Gigerenzer, G. (2009). Using icon arrays to communicate medical risks: Overcoming low numeracy. Health Psychology, 28, 210-216. PDF (588 KB)
June Cokely, E. T., & Kelley, C. M. (2009). Cognitive abilities and superior decision making under risk: A protocol analysis and process model evaluation. Judgment and Decision Making, 4, 20-33. PDF (155 KB)
May Marewski, J. N., & Olsson, H. (2009). Beyond the null ritual: Formal modeling of psychological processes. Zeitschrift für Psychologie, 217, 49-60. PDF (181 KB)
   
April Gigerenzer, G., & Brighton, H. J. (2009). Homo heuristicus: Why biased minds make better inferences. Topics in Cognitive Science, 1, 107-143. PDF (609 KB)