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Konstantinos Katsikopoulos

© KK
Assoziierter Wissenschaftler
+49 30 82406-689
katsikop [at] mpib-berlin [dot] mpg [dot] de
314

Akademischer Steckbrief: 

Until February 2017, I will hold a W2 position and serve as the deputy director of the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition.

Then, I will move to the University of Southampton, Business School, Department of Decision Analytics and Risk, as an Associate Professor of Behavioral Operations. For more information, please see https://www.southampton.ac.uk/business-school/about/staff/kk2g16.page?

I will continue to be an adjunct scientist at the Harding Center for Risk Literacy, here in Berlin.

Forschungsinteressen: 

Decision making: Prescriptive and descriptive.

Modeling of human behavior.

Behaviorally informed policy. 


Ausgewählte Literatur: 

Katsikopoulos, K. V., and Syntetos, A. A. (in press). Bias-variance tradeoffs in demand forecasting, ForesightThe International Journal of Applied Forecasting.

Keller, N., and Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2016). On the role of psychological heuristics in operational research; and a demonstration in military stability operations, European Journal of Operational Research, 249, 1063-1073.

Aikman, D., Galesic, M., Gigerenzer, G., Kapadia, S.,  Katsikopoulos, K. V., Kothiyal, A., Murphy, E., and Neumann, T. (2014). Taking uncertainty seriously: Simplicity versus complexity in financial regulation, Bank of England Financial Stability Paper No. 28. 

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2014). Bounded rationality: The two cultures, Journal of Economic Methodology, 21, 361-374.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2013). Why do simple heuristics perform well in choices with binary attributes? Decision Analysis, 10, 327-340.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., and Gigerenzer, G. (2013). Behavioral operations management: A blind spot and a research program, Journal of Supply Chain Management, 49, 3-7.  

Baucells, M., and Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2011). Descriptive models of decision-making. In J. J. Cochran (Ed.) Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science (pp. 1286–1301), John Wiley and Sons. 

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2011). Psychological heuristics for making inferences: Definition, performance, and the emerging theory and practice, Decision Analysis, 8, 10-29.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2010). The less-is-more effect: Predictions and tests, Judgment and Decision Making, 5, 244-257. 

Katsikopoulos, K. V., and King, A. J. (2010). Swarm intelligence in animal groups: When can a collective out-perform an expert? PLoS ONE, 5, 11, e15505.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., Schooler, L. J., and Hertwig, R. (2010). The robust beauty of ordinary information, Psychological Review, 117, 1259-1266.

Clausing, D. P., and Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2008). Rationality in systems engineering: Beyond calculation or political action, Systems Engineering, 11, 309-328. 

Katsikopoulos, K. V., and Gigerenzer, G. (2008). One-reason decision-making: Modeling violations of expected utility theory, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 37, 35-56.

Pichert, D., and Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2008). Green defaults: Information presentation and pro-environmental behavior, Journal of Environmental Psychology, 28, 63-73.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., and Fasolo, B. (2006). New tools for decision analysts. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans, 36, 960-967.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., and Engelbrecht, S. E. (2003). Markov decision processes with delays and asynchronous cost collection, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 48, 568-574.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., Duse-Anthony, Y., Fisher, D. L., and Duffy, S. A. (2002). Risk attitude reversals in drivers’ route choice when range of travel time information is provided, Human Factors, 44, 466–473.   

For more information on publications and text, see http://www.researcherid.com/rid/B-6356-2012 and https://scholar.google.de/citations?user=i4xhs-4AAAAJ&hl=en

Alle aufklappen Curriculum Vitae

zuklappen Publikationen

Egozcue, M., García, L. F., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Smithson, M. (2017). Simple models in finance: A mathematical analysis of the probabilistic recognition heuristic. Journal of Risk Model Validation, 11, 83-103. doi:10.21314/JRMV.2017.175
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Tan, J. H., Luan, S., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2017). A signal-detection approach to modeling forgiveness decisions. Evolution and Human Behavior, 38, 27-38. doi:10.1016/j.evolhumbehav.2016.06.004
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Galesic, M., Barkoczi, D., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2016). Smaller crowds outperform larger crowds and individuals in realistic task conditions. Decision. Advance online publication. doi:10.1037/dec0000059
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Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2016). Behavior with models: The role of psychological heuristics in operations research. In M. Kunc, J. Malpass, & L. White (Eds.), Behavioral operational research: Theory, methodology and practice (pp. 27-45). London: Palgrave Macmillan.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Syntetos, A. (2016). Bias-variance tradeoffs in demand forecasting. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 40, 12-19.

Keller, N., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2016). On the role of psychological heuristics in operational research; and a demonstration in military stability operations. European Journal of Operational Research, 249, 1063-1073. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2015.07.023
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McMahon, K., Ruggeri, A., Kämmer, J. E., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2016). Beyond idea generation: The power of groups in developing ideas. Creativity Research Journal, 28, 247-257. doi:10.1080/10400419.2016.1195637

Wallin, A., Paradis, C., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2016). Evaluative polarity words in risky choice framing. Journal of Pragmatics, 106, 20-38. doi:10.1016/j.pragma.2016.09.005
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Artinger, F. M., Bortoleto, A. P., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2015). Environmental behavior and fast and frugal heuristics. In F. Beckenbach & W. Kahlenborn (Eds.), New perspectives for environmental policies through behavioral economics (pp. 195-211). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-16793-0_8
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Bodemer, N., Hanoch, Y., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2015). Heuristics: foundations for a novel approach to medical decision making. Internal and Emergency Medicine, 10, 195-203. doi:10.1007/s11739-014-1143-y
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Galesic, M., Barkoczi, D., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2015). Can small crowds be wise? Moderate-sized groups can outperform large groups and individuals under some task conditions (SFI Working Paper No. 2015-12-051). Santa Fe, CA: Santa Fe Institute.
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Ruggeri, A., Olsson, H., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2015). Opening the cuebox: The information children and young adults generate and rely on when making inferences from memory. British Journal of Developmental Psychology, 33, 355-374. doi:10.1111/bjdp.12100
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Tuckett, D., Mandel, A., Mangalagiu, D., Abramson, A., Hinkel, J., Katsikopoulos, K. V., Kirman, A., Malleret, T., Mozetic, I., Ormerod, P., Smith, R. E., Venturini, T., & Wilkinson, A. (2015). Uncertainty, decision science, and policy making: A manifesto for a research agenda. Critical Review, 27, 213-242. doi:10.1080/08913811.2015.1037078

Aikman, D., Galesic, M., Gigerenzer, G., Kapadia, S., Katsikopoulos, K., Kothiyal, A., Murphy, E., & Neumann, T. (2014). Taking uncertainty seriously: Simplicity versus complexity in financial regulation (Financial Stability Paper / Bank of England No. 28). London: Bank of England.
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Analytis, P. P., Kothiyal, A., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2014). Multi-attribute utility models as cognitive search engines. Judgment and Decision Making, 9, 403-419.
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Bortoleto, A. P., Kause, A., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2014). Waste prevention behaviour and fast and frugal heuristics. In A. P. Bortoleto (Ed.), Waste prevention policy and behaviour: New approaches to reducing waste generation and its environmental impacts (pp. 168-187). London: Routledge.

Davidovic, S., Galesic, M., Katsikopoulos, K., & Arinaminpathy, N. (2014). Modeling uncertainty in banking networks. In S. Omatu, H. Bersini, J. M. Corchado, S. Rodríguez, P. Pawlewski, & E. Bucciarelli (Eds.), Distributed computing and artificial intelligence: 11th International Conference (Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing No. 290) (pp. 107-114). Berlin: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-07593-8_14
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Drechsler, M., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Gigerenzer, G. (2014). Axiomatizing bounded rationality: The priority heuristic. Theory and Decision, 77, 183-196. doi:10.1007/s11238-013-9393-0
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Karaliopoulos, M., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Lambrinos, L. (2014). Bounded rationality can increase parking search efficiency. In MobiHoc '14: Proceedings of the 15th ACM International Symposium on Mobile Ad Hoc Networking and Computing (pp. 195-204). New York, NY: ACM. doi:10.1145/2632951.2632955

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2014). Bounded rationality: The two cultures. Journal of Economic Methodology, 21, 361-374. doi:10.1080/1350178X.2014.965908

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2014). Decision theory and rules of thumb. In W. Pedrycz & P. Guo (Eds.), Human-centric decision-making models for social sciences (Studies in Computational Intelligence No. 502) (pp. 75-96). Heidelberg: Springer.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., Egozcue, M., & Fuentes Garcia, L. (2014). Cumulative dominance in multi-attribute choice: Benefits and limits. EURO Journal on Decision Processes, 2, 153-163. doi:10.1007/s40070-014-0026-9
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Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2013). Why do simple heuristics perform well in choices with binary attributes? Decision Analysis, 10, 327-340. doi:10.1287/deca.2013.0281

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Gigerenzer, G. (2013). Behavioral operations management: A blind spot and a research program. Journal of Supply Chain Management, 49, 3-7. doi:10.1111/j.1745-493x.2012.03285.x
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Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Gigerenzer, G. (2013). Modeling decision heuristics. In J. D. Lee & A. Kirlik (Eds.), The Oxford handbook of cognitive engineering (pp. 490-500). New York: Oxford University Press.
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Luan, S., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Reimer, T. (2013). The "Less-Is-More" effect in group decision making. In R. Hertwig, U. Hoffrage, & the ABC Research Group, Simple heuristics in a social world (pp. 293-317). New York, NY: Oxford University Press.

Ruggeri, A., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2013). Make your own kinds of cues: When children make more accurate inferences than adults. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology, 115, 517-535. doi:10.1016/j.jecp.2012.11.007
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Bennis, W. M., Katsikopoulos, K. V., Goldstein, D. G., Dieckmann, A., & Berg, N. (2012). Designed to fit minds: Institutions and ecological rationality. In P. M. Todd, G. Gigerenzer, & the ABC Research Group, Ecological rationality: Intelligence in the world (pp. 409-427). New York: Oxford University Press.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2012). Decision methods for design: Insights from psychology. Journal of Mechanical Design, Transactions of the ASME, 134(8):084504. doi:10.1115/1.4007001

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Reimer, T. (2012). How groups use partial ignorance to make good decisions. In P. M. Todd, G. Gigerenzer, & the ABC Research Group, Ecological rationality: Intelligence in the world (pp. 167-183). New York: Oxford University Press.

Luan, S., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Reimer, T. (2012). When does diversity trump ability (and vice versa) in group decision making? A simulation study. PLoS ONE, 7(2):e31043. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0031043
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Martignon, L. F., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Woike, J. K. (2012). Naive, fast, and frugal trees for classification. In P. M. Todd, G. Gigerenzer, & the ABC Research Group, Ecological rationality: Intelligence in the world (pp. 360-378). New York: Oxford University Press.

Baucells, M., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2011). Descriptive models of decision making. In J. J. Cochran (Ed.), Wiley encyclopedia of operations research and management science (Vol. 2, pp. 1286-1301). Hoboken: Wiley.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2011). Advanced guide signs and behavioral decision theory. In D. L. Fisher, M. Rizzo, J. K. Caird, & J. D. Lee (Eds.), Handbook of driving simulation for engineering, medicine and psychology (pp. 37-1-37-8). Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2011). "How to model it?" [Review of the book Cognitive Modeling, by J. R. Busemeyer & A. Diederich]. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 55, 198-201. doi:10.1016/j.jmp.2010.07.002
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Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2011). Lernen über Risiken beim Wetten. Stochastik in der Schule, 31, 25-28.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2011). Psychological heuristics for making inferences: Definition, performance, and the emerging theory and practice. Decision Analysis, 8, 10-29. doi:10.1287/deca.1100.0191
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Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Lan, C.-H. D. (2011). Herbert Simon's spell on judgment and decision making. Judgment and Decision Making, 6, 722-732.
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Frey, D. D., Herder, P. M., Wijnia, Y., Subrahmanian, E., Katsikopoulos, K. V., Neufville, R. d., Oye, K., & Clausing, D. P. (2010). Research in engineering design: The role of mathematical theory and empirical evidence. Research in Engineering Design, 21, 139-145. doi:10.1007/s00163-010-0085-2
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Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2010). Don't take gurus too seriously [Review of the book A science of decision making: The legacy of Ward Edwards, by J. W. Weiss & D. J. Weiss]. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 54, 401-403. doi:10.1016/j.jmp.2009.11.001
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Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2010). The less-is-more effect: Predictions and tests. Judgment and Decision Making, 5, 244-257.
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Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Gigerenzer, G. (2010). Decision structures on the basis of bounded rationality. In K. Lucas & P. Roosen (Eds.), Emergence, analysis and evolution of structures: Concepts and strategies across disciplines (pp. 214-226). Berlin: Springer.
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Katsikopoulos, K. V., & King, A. J. (2010). Swarm intelligence in animal groups: When can a collective out-perform an expert? PLoS ONE, 5(11):e15505. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0015505
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Katsikopoulos, K. V., Schooler, L. J., & Hertwig, R. (2010). The robust beauty of ordinary information. Psychological Review, 117, 1259-1266. doi:10.1037/a0020418
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Keller, N., Cokely, E. T., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Wegwarth, O. (2010). Naturalistic heuristics for decision making. Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making, 4, 256-274. doi:10.1518/155534310X12844000801168
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Frey, D. D., Herder, P. M., Wijnia, Y., Subrahmanian, E., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Clausing, D. P. (2009). The pugh controlled convergence method: Model-based evaluation and implications for design theory. Research in Engineering Design, 20, 41-58. doi:10.1007/s00163-008-0056-z
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Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2009). The conceptual connection between lens models and fast and frugal heuristics: A process approach. Theory & Psychology, 19, 688-697. doi:10.1177/0959354309341927
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Zhu, W., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2009). An econometric model for estimating decision rules, choice of rules and influence of consistency. In Proceedings of the 2009 Joint Conference of International Association for Research in Economic Psychology and Society for Advancement of Behavioral Economics (27 p.). Halifax.
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Clausing, D. P., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2008). Rationality in systems engineering: Beyond calculation or political action. Systems Engineering, 11, 309-328.
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Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Gigerenzer, G. (2008). One-reason decision-making: Modeling violations of expected utility theory. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 37, 35-56.
(Reprinted in Heuristics: The foundations of adaptive behavior, pp. 186-200, by G. Gigerenzer, R. Hertwig, & T. Pachur, Eds., 2011, New York: Oxford University Press)
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Katsikopoulos, K. V., Pachur, T., Machery, E., & Wallin, A. (2008). From Meehl to fast and frugal heuristics (and back): New insights into how to bridge the clinical - Actuarial divide. Theory & Psychology, 18, 443-464. doi:10.1177/0959354308091824
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Martignon, L., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Woike, J. K. (2008). Categorization with limited resources: A family of simple heuristics. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 52, 352-361. doi:10.1016/j.jmp.2008.04.003
(Reprinted in Heuristics: The foundations of adaptive behavior, pp. 319-332, by G. Gigerenzer, R. Hertwig, & T. Pachur, Eds., 2011, New York: Oxford University Press)
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Pichert, D., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2008). Green defaults: Information presentation and pro-environmental behaviour. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 28, 63-73.
(Reprinted in Heuristics: The foundations of adaptive behavior, pp. 713-724, by G. Gigerenzer, R. Hertwig, & T. Pachur, Eds., 2011, New York: Oxford University Press)
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Frey, D. D., Herder, P. M., Wijna, Y., Subrahmanian, E., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Clausing, D. P. (2007). An evaluation of the pugh controlled convergence method. In Proceedings of the ASME DETC: Design Engineering Technical Conference, Las Vegas, Nevada, September 4-7, 2007 (pp. 103-113). New York: ASME.

Hanoch, Y., Katsikopoulos, K. V., Gummerum, M., & Brass, E. P. (2007). American and German students' knowledge, perceptions, and behaviors with respect to over-the-counter pain relievers. Health Psychology, 26, 802-806.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2007). (P, p) retraining policies. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man & Cybernetics, Part A: Systems & Humans, 37, 609-613.

Reimer, T., Hoffrage, U., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2007). Entscheidungsheuristiken in Gruppen [Heuristics in group decision-making]. NeuroPsychoEconomics, 2, 7-29.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Fasolo, B. (2006). New tools for decision analysts. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans, 36, 960-967.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Martignon, L. (2006). Naive heuristics for paired comparisons: Some results on their relative accuracy. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 50, 488-494. doi:10.1016/j.jmp.2006.06.001
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Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2005, Autumn). [Review of the book Thinking: Psychological perspectives on reasoning, judgment, and decision making]. The European Association for Decision Making Bulletin. Retrieved November 20, 2006, from http://www.psylone.com/eadmbulletin.html

Gigerenzer, G., Hertwig, R., Van den Broek, E., Fasolo, B., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2005). A 30% chance of rain tomorrow: How does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts? Risk Analysis, 25, 623-629.
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Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2005). [Review of the book Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making]. European Association for Decision Making Newsletter, Spring 2005, 11-12.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2005). [Review of the book Psychological investigations of competence in decision making]. European Association for Decision Making Newsletter, Summer 2005, 11-13.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Șimșek, Ö. (2005). Optimal doubling strategy against a suboptimal opponent. Journal of Applied Probability, 42, 867-872.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Hanoch, Y. (2005). [Review of the book Preference, belief, and similarity: Selected writings of Amos Tversky]. European Journal of Cognitive Psychology, 17, 155-158.

Reimer, T., Mata, R., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Opwis, K. (2005). On the interplay between heuristics and systematic processes in persuasion. In B. G. Bara, L. Barsalou, & M. Bucciarelli (Eds.), Proceedings of the 27th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 1833-1838). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.
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Reimer, T., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2004). The use of recognition in group decision-making. Cognitive Science, 28, 1009-1029.
(Reprinted in Heuristics: The foundations of adaptive behavior, pp. 562-576, by G. Gigerenzer, R. Hertwig, & T. Pachur, Eds., 2011, New York: Oxford University Press)
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Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Engelbrecht, S. E. (2003). Markov decision processes with delays and asynchronus cost collection. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 48, 568-574.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., Duse-Anthony, Y., Fisher, D. L., & Duffy, S. A. (2002). Risk attitude reversals in drivers' route choice when range of travel time information is provided. Human Factors, 44, 466-473.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Fisher, D. L. (2001). Formal requirements of Markov state models for paired associate learning. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 45, 324-333.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., Fisher, D. L., & Duffy, S. A. (2001). Experimental evaluation of policies for sequencing the presentations of associations. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man & Cybernetics: Systems & Humans, 31, 55?59.

Fisher, D. L., Duffy, S. A., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2000). Cognitive slowing among older adults: What kind and how much? In T. Perfect & E. Maylor (Eds.), Models of cognitive aging (pp. 87-124). Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2000). Optimal instructional policies based on a random-trial incremental model of learning. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man & Cybernetics: Systems & Humans, 30(4), 490?494.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., Duseant-Anthony, Y., Fisher, D. L., & Duffy, S. A. (2000). The framing of drivers' route choices when travel time information is provided under varying degrees of cognitive load. Human Factors, 42, 470-481.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (1999). Characterizing and optimizing the performance of younger and older adults in paired-associate learning tasks: A Markov modeling approach. Doctoral dissertation, University of Massachusetts Amherst, USA.

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (1998). State models and lag effects in paired associate learning. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 42, 473.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Fisher, D. L. (1997). Lag effects in paired associate learning: Age differences. In Proceedings of the 41st Annual Meeting of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society (p. 1369). Santa Monica, CA: Human Factors and Ergonomics Society.

Katsikopoulos, K. V., Fisher, D. L., & Pullen, M. T. (1997). Paired associate learning: Age differences. In W. A. Rogers (Ed.), Designing for an Aging Population: Ten Years of Human Factors/Ergonomics Research (pp. 104-108).

Katsikopoulos, K. V. (1994). Forecasting election results. M. Phil., Advisor: Prof. Stratis Kounias, University at Athens, Greece.